FBC Melgar vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 0
MEL
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
4 - 1
SBO
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
4 - 0
MEL
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 4
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AYA
2 - 0
MEL
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
HUA
0 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
4 - 1
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AYA
1 - 1
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 0
LLA
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 3
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |