FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAS
26%
30%
44%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FAS
2 - 1
FIR
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 2
FAS
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
18%
21%
61%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FAS
2 - 0
MET
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALI
4 - 0
MUN
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 1
ALI
9%
19%
73%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 0
IND
79%
13%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 2
FAS
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |