Farvagny / Ogoz vs Colombier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
DUD
3 - 0
FAR
60%
20%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 1
NEX
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SEC
2 - 0
FAR
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
STA
0 - 1
FAR
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 2
FCP
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
FRI
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ROM
2 - 2
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
COL
3 - 2
TPA
29%
23%
49%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 0
COL
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |