Falkirk vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
FAL
18%
25%
57%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 2
FAL
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FAL
2 - 0
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 1
FAL
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FAL
0 - 0
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
DUM
0 - 1
PET
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
DUM
4 - 0
HUN
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
DUM
0 - 1
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MON
4 - 0
DUM
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
DUM
1 - 0
COV
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |