SPL Round 5

Falkirk vs Celtic analysis

Falkirk Celtic
75 ELO 82
11.6% Tilt 1.4%
437º General ELO ranking 455º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46%
Falkirk
22.8%
Draw
31.3%
Celtic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.3%
Win probability
Celtic
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-1%
+30%
Celtic

ELO progression

Falkirk
Celtic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 1933
TLA
Third Lanark
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
55%
19%
26%
74 68 6 0
16 Dec. 1933
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
62%
18%
20%
74 73 1 0
09 Dec. 1933
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 0
Queen of the South
QOS
66%
17%
17%
74 70 4 0
02 Dec. 1933
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
Clyde
CLY
69%
16%
15%
74 71 3 0
25 Nov. 1933
GLA
Rangers
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
71%
16%
13%
74 83 9 0

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 1933
QUE
Queen's Park
2 - 3
Celtic
CEL
43%
23%
34%
83 70 13 0
23 Dec. 1933
CEL
Celtic
0 - 1
Queen of the South
QOS
84%
10%
6%
83 69 14 0
09 Dec. 1933
DUN
Dundee
3 - 2
Celtic
CEL
54%
23%
23%
83 83 0 0
02 Dec. 1933
CEL
Celtic
4 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
78%
13%
9%
83 64 19 0
25 Nov. 1933
CEL
Celtic
3 - 1
Third Lanark
TLA
72%
15%
13%
83 68 15 0