Fafe vs Cerveira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
FAF
42%
27%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
FAF
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FAF
2 - 1
PED
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
VIA
0 - 0
FAF
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FAF
0 - 2
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
OSL
2 - 3
CER
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CER
1 - 3
COV
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
CER
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
VIL
16%
22%
63%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FAO
0 - 2
CER
68%
19%
14%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |