FADEP vs San Martín Mendoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+170%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FADEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
FAD
1 - 0
GUT
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SMA
2 - 0
FAD
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GUT
2 - 0
FAD
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FAD
3 - 1
SMA
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GUT
2 - 1
FAD
77%
15%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SMA
2 - 0
FAD
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GUT
1 - 1
SMA
80%
13%
6%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FAD
3 - 1
SMA
58%
21%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 0
GUT
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 0
SMA
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |