Exeter City vs Scarborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
EXE
4 - 0
CRA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CAN
1 - 1
EXE
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 0
EXE
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
EXE
3 - 1
DAG
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2006 |
GRA
3 - 0
EXE
59%
22%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Scarborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SCA
1 - 2
CAM
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
SCA
2 - 7
GRA
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
STA
1 - 0
SCA
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
SCA
3 - 0
BUR
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
SCA
0 - 0
TAM
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |