Exeter City vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 1
EXE
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 1
EXE
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
EXE
2 - 2
MOR
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 1
EXE
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
EXE
1 - 0
WYC
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
QPR
1 - 1
BPO
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PNE
2 - 1
QPR
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
QPR
0 - 0
PLY
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
WOL
1 - 0
QPR
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
QPR
3 - 2
SHW
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |