Excelsior vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 3
UTR
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PSV
6 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAC
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 0
RJC
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AZA
4 - 0
VIT
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
UTR
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |