Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
EXC
4 - 0
VOL
54%
22%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
GRO
4 - 2
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
GAE
1 - 2
EXC
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
TEL
2 - 0
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1999 |
EXC
7 - 1
VVV
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1999 |
FCD
3 - 0
HEL
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
HEL
1 - 0
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
VOL
1 - 3
HEL
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
HEL
2 - 3
GRO
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
BOS
4 - 4
HEL
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |