Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
EIN
4 - 4
EXC
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
BOS
2 - 3
EXC
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 2
TEL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
GAE
2 - 0
FOR
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
FCE
0 - 1
GAE
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
GAE
1 - 0
GRA
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
RBC
1 - 3
GAE
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
GAE
2 - 0
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |