Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
VVV
1 - 0
EXC
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
PSV
8%
14%
78%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCE
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ZWO
0 - 0
AZA
17%
20%
63%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ZWO
0 - 3
GRA
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 0
ZWO
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWO
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |