Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
RBC
1 - 1
EXC
43%
24%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
4 - 2
SPA
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 3
WIL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
27%
24%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
TWE
0 - 0
GRO
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 1
TWE
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 0
VIT
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 1
TWE
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |