Excelsior vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 0
MVV
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
EIN
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
6 - 4
BOS
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
ALK
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
HEL
1 - 4
EXC
15%
22%
64%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
EIN
2 - 2
FCO
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
FCO
2 - 1
JUT
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 1
FCO
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
FCO
1 - 3
FCD
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
FCO
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |