Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 1
RJC
26%
24%
51%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 2
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 4
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 1
GRO
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 3
VIT
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FEY
1 - 0
GRO
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
4 - 0
GRO
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 0
PSV
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |