Excelsior vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 0
EIN
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
GAE
0 - 0
EXC
29%
23%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 0
VVV
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VOL
0 - 2
EXC
31%
23%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 0
MVV
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
FCD
1 - 1
ZWO
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
FCO
2 - 1
FCD
43%
25%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
FCD
2 - 2
FCE
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
RBC
3 - 1
FCD
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
FCD
1 - 3
BVV
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |