Evesham United vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 5
EVE
24%
20%
56%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
CIR
0 - 1
EVE
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 0
BAR
85%
11%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 2
WIM
80%
14%
7%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BID
1 - 3
EVE
25%
24%
52%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CIR
1 - 2
LAR
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
CIR
0 - 1
EVE
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PAU
0 - 3
CIR
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
SAL
8 - 2
CIR
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CIR
1 - 0
WIN
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |