Everton vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
EVE
3 - 0
STO
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MID
1 - 0
EVE
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
EVE
2 - 2
NEW
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
EVE
0 - 3
LIV
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 2
EVE
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
LEE
2 - 2
SWI
80%
15%
6%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
LEE
0 - 2
BIR
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2003 |
LEI
4 - 0
LEE
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MID
2 - 3
LEE
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
LEE
0 - 0
SOU
55%
24%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |