Premier League Round 33

Everton vs Arsenal analysis

Everton Arsenal
89 ELO 85
-8.8% Tilt -11.8%
84º General ELO ranking 16º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.2%
Everton
21.2%
Draw
16.6%
Arsenal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
Everton
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.6%
Win probability
Arsenal
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Everton
+7%
+1%
Arsenal

ELO progression

Everton
Arsenal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Everton
Everton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 1985
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
0 - 2
Everton
EVE
17%
26%
57%
89 69 20 0
16 Mar. 1985
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Everton
EVE
39%
27%
34%
89 84 5 0
13 Mar. 1985
IPS
Ipswich Town
0 - 1
Everton
EVE
41%
28%
31%
89 84 5 0
09 Mar. 1985
EVE
Everton
2 - 2
Ipswich Town
IPS
68%
20%
12%
89 84 5 0
06 Mar. 1985
EVE
Everton
3 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
89%
8%
3%
89 68 21 0

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 1985
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 1
Ipswich Town
IPS
62%
21%
17%
85 83 2 0
16 Mar. 1985
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 0
Leicester
LEI
66%
19%
14%
85 80 5 0
13 Mar. 1985
ASV
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
49%
24%
27%
85 84 1 0
09 Mar. 1985
SUN
Sunderland
0 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
38%
26%
36%
85 81 4 0
02 Mar. 1985
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
West Ham
WHU
60%
21%
18%
85 83 2 0