Estudiantes de Mérida vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
MIN
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ANZ
4 - 3
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 1
EST
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
TUC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ZUL
0 - 1
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
TRU
29%
27%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
MIN
32%
28%
41%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
CFC
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |