CA Estudiantes vs Brown Adrogue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
5 - 5
EST
37%
31%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EST
1 - 4
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 3
EST
24%
29%
47%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
COL
74%
18%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SUA
1 - 4
EST
36%
29%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 2
ALM
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
4 - 1
BRO
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BRO
0 - 0
FEN
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
BRO
24%
29%
48%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
BRO
0 - 0
SUA
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |