Estoril vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VIZ
1 - 1
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
EST
3 - 0
OLI
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
COV
2 - 3
EST
17%
26%
57%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
VAR
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
FEI
0 - 1
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAF
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
PEN
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
SPC
39%
28%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |