Estoril vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
15º
14º
74
4º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
74 | 74 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
EST
40%
29%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
RIO
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
FAM
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
EST
1 - 3
FUL
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCP
0 - 2
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
44%
23%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SCP
3 - 0
RIO
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SPB
3 - 3
SCP
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 1
WOL
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |