Estoril vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SCP
3 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 1
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VST
2 - 1
MOR
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
ARO
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
BOA
71%
20%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
MOR
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
PAÇ
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |