Esperança de Lagos vs Serpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CON
4 - 3
EDL
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 1
EDL
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
EDL
1 - 2
FCB
39%
24%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LGC
2 - 2
EDL
59%
20%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
OLH
2 - 1
EDL
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SER
4 - 0
OLM
7%
13%
80%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
IMO
8%
16%
76%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
SER
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +4 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ALM
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |