Spain U17s vs Italy U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
FRA
0 - 2
ESP
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 0
WLS
76%
15%
10%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 0
BGR
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2002 |
ENG
4 - 1
ESP
3%
14%
83%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 1
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
AZE
0 - 2
ITA
35%
23%
41%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
ITA
1 - 1
DEU
49%
23%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
ITA
3 - 0
BEL
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
2 - 1
BGR
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2002 |
LVA
0 - 2
ITA
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |