Scotland U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
GRC
1 - 0
SCT
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
SCT
2 - 2
HRV
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
SMR
0 - 7
SCT
10%
17%
73%
|
56 | 13 | 43 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
SCT
2 - 0
CZE
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
LTU
0 - 1
SCT
13%
20%
66%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
UKR
3 - 0
NIR
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NIR
1 - 0
UKR
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
NIR
2 - 3
FIN
40%
25%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
NIR
0 - 1
DNK
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
MLT
0 - 2
NIR
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |