Empoli Sub 19 vs Novara Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 0
EMP
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EMP
3 - 1
CES
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
3 - 2
EMP
18%
26%
56%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
EMP
3 - 0
SAS
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
EMP
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 0
GEN
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FIO
4 - 0
NOV
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
5 - 1
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
PCZ
0 - 2
NOV
22%
23%
56%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 1
CES
54%
23%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |