Emmen vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
58.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FCE
1 - 4
VIT
15%
22%
64%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
FCE
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FCE
1 - 4
TWE
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
FCE
2 - 3
UTR
16%
21%
64%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
ZWO
0 - 0
FCE
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VVV
1 - 1
SCH
27%
23%
51%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
RKC
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 3
FOR
54%
23%
22%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FEY
3 - 0
SCH
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 2
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |