Emmaste vs Ararat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmaste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
FLO
0 - 2
EMM
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JOK
3 - 1
EMM
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
EMM
1 - 1
JKJ
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 0
EMM
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
TKA
0 - 0
EMM
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 4
JKJ
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
TKA
6 - 0
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SKA
9 - 3
FCA
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCP
53%
20%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAA
10 - 0
FCA
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |