Elche vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
CDB
2 - 3
ELC
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ELC
2 - 2
TER
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
EIB
0 - 1
ELC
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
ELC
0 - 2
ALM
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ZAR
5 - 2
ELC
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
NUM
0 - 1
UDL
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
NUM
4 - 0
CDB
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
TER
1 - 1
NUM
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
NUM
1 - 0
EIB
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 2
NUM
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |