EC São José vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
LON
1 - 1
ECS
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
GRE
1 - 0
ECS
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
ECS
0 - 0
ATM
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ECS
2 - 1
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1982 |
DES
0 - 1
ECS
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
TRE
0 - 2
BOT
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
GUA
4 - 1
BOT
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
BOT
1 - 0
CEA
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
BOT
5 - 2
RIV
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1982 |
ARN
0 - 3
BOT
27%
30%
43%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |