EC Milan vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 4
ECM
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ECM
2 - 0
CAC
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LAJ
1 - 0
ECM
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECM
2 - 2
SAN
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ECM
0 - 1
ACP
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
LAJ
2 - 0
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 0
LAJ
58%
23%
20%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LAJ
1 - 0
ECM
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LAJ
1 - 2
ACP
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
PAN
1 - 0
LAJ
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |