Macapá vs Cristal CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ECM
0 - 6
TDC
27%
23%
51%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ECM
0 - 2
YAP
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SPM
3 - 2
ECM
20%
25%
55%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
ECM
3 - 3
SAN
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
YAP
7 - 2
ECM
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cristal CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CRI
2 - 2
YAP
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
CRI
1 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
SPM
2 - 5
CRI
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRI
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 0
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |