Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 4-1
Bahía vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
BAH
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 0
BAH
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 1
ATM
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 4
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AYA
2 - 0
MEL
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 0
BAH
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
GAR
3 - 1
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 2
MEL
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |