East Thurrock United FC vs VCD Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
EAS
4 - 1
LFC
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
EAS
1 - 2
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
EAS
1 - 2
LOW
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
EAS
5 - 2
TIL
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
TIL
2 - 2
EAS
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VCD Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MAL
4 - 3
VCD
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
VCD
1 - 2
WAL
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
VCD
0 - 0
THA
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
THA
2 - 2
VCD
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ILF
0 - 3
VCD
31%
25%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |