East Fife vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
8º
4º
61
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
EAS
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
STI
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 0
EAS
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 3
STR
45%
24%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
STE
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
BLA
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
DUM
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
BRA
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUM
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
DUM
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |