AFC Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
East Bengal Club vs Semen Padang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Bengal Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
EAS
4 - 0
POL
83%
13%
5%
|
61 | 14 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
EAS
5 - 1
YAN
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 29 | 33 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 1
SHI
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
EAS
6 - 0
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 2
EAS
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Semen Padang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2013 |
SEM
2 - 1
DAN
47%
23%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SEM
3 - 1
CHU
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
WAR
0 - 2
SEM
65%
18%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SEM
3 - 1
KFC
23%
22%
55%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
KFC
1 - 2
SEM
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |