Dwangwa United vs Kamuzu Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dwangwa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BUL
1 - 0
DWA
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DWA
2 - 0
CHI
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MOY
0 - 0
DWA
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MZU
1 - 3
DWA
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DWA
2 - 2
MAF
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kamuzu Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
KUN
0 - 3
KAM
46%
23%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BLU
0 - 2
KAM
47%
25%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
0 - 1
KAM
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
KAM
3 - 1
AZT
48%
27%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
KAM
4 - 2
SIL
44%
27%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |