Dve Mogili vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dve Mogili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RAS
1 - 1
DVE
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DVE
3 - 0
SHA
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
DVE
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
DVE
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DVE
1 - 0
SUV
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SVA
5 - 2
SKS
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
SVA
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FTT
0 - 3
SVA
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SVA
1 - 0
RAS
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 3
SVA
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | +1 |