Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 0
DUN
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
INS
2 - 3
DUN
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLE
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
CRU
5 - 0
DUN
86%
11%
4%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
5 - 0
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
INS
0 - 2
GLE
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
GLE
2 - 2
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
INS
2 - 3
DUN
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
3 - 0
INS
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
INS
0 - 3
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |