Dungannon Swifts vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 0
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
COL
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
4 - 0
LIM
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 0
GLE
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 1
DUN
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 0
BAL
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 0
ARD
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
WAR
3 - 3
ARD
46%
23%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
ARD
1 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 1
BAL
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |