Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
DUN
1 - 1
HIB
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
GLA
4 - 0
DUN
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
DUN
2 - 2
CEL
31%
26%
44%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
RAI
0 - 1
DUN
44%
25%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
KIL
1 - 0
HOM
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
GLA
1 - 2
KIL
80%
13%
6%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
KIL
1 - 0
MHE
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1997 |
KIL
2 - 0
CEL
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +2 |