Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 2
DUN
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 1
RAI
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DUN
6 - 1
QOS
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CWB
0 - 1
DUN
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
ROS
0 - 1
DUN
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FAL
0 - 1
ROS
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
STI
1 - 2
FAL
19%
26%
55%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
FAL
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CWB
1 - 2
FAL
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
FAL
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |