SPL Title Play-off Round 1

Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Aberdeen analysis

Dunfermline Athletic FC Aberdeen
73 ELO 77
-1.3% Tilt -1.5%
1793º General ELO ranking 495º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.6%
Dunfermline Athletic FC
25.3%
Draw
34.1%
Aberdeen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.1%
Win probability
Aberdeen
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dunfermline Athletic FC
-2%
-7%
Aberdeen

ELO progression

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Aberdeen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2002
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 0
Dundee
DUN
50%
25%
26%
72 72 0 0
16 Mar. 2002
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
57%
23%
20%
73 77 4 -1
09 Mar. 2002
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
43%
27%
31%
72 77 5 +1
02 Mar. 2002
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 0
Livingston
LIV
36%
25%
39%
71 78 7 +1
16 Feb. 2002
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
63%
21%
17%
70 76 6 +1

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2002
LIV
Livingston
0 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
43%
25%
31%
77 77 0 0
16 Mar. 2002
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
57%
23%
20%
77 73 4 0
09 Mar. 2002
DUN
Dundee
2 - 3
Aberdeen
ABE
35%
27%
39%
76 71 5 +1
02 Mar. 2002
CEL
Celtic
1 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
64%
20%
16%
76 83 7 0
25 Feb. 2002
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
38%
25%
37%
77 83 6 -1