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Premier League. Matchday 15

Dundalk Waterford United
53 ELO 39
-13% Tilt -62%
945º General ELO ranking 3126º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
66.8%
Dundalk
24.9%
Draw
8.4%
Waterford United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
Dundalk
1.52
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
21.1%
1-0
23.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
30.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
24.8%
8.4%
Win probability
Waterford United
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundalk
-5%
-63%
Waterford United

Basic stats

47
53
POS
7
5
SOT
4
4
COR
1
3
GF
3
1
GC
11
13
FRK
53
39
ELO
1.5
0.4
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Dundalk
Their league position
Waterford United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
22
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shamrock Rovers
44
70
36%
St Patrick's
41
65
25%
Sligo Rovers
38
63
15%
Bohemian FC
31
58
14%
Drogheda United
30
54
17%
Derry City
28
45
14%
Dundalk
27
52
15%
Waterford United
22
32
23%
Finn Harps
20
35
24%
Longford Town
10º
11
22
10º
71%
Expected probabilities
Dundalk
Waterford United
Champion
5% 0%
Europa Conference League
16% 2%
Mid-table
62% 48%
Relegation playoffs
11% 28%
Relegation
5% 22%

ELO progression

Waterford United
WAT
Dundalk
DUN
Longford Town
LON
Shamrock Rovers
SHR
Finn Harps
FIN
St Patrick's
STP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundalk
Dundalk
1%
X%
2%
ELO DUN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2021
STP
St Patrick's
0 - 2
Dundalk
DUN
39%
28%
33%
1059 839 -220 +5
24 May. 2021
BOH
Bohemian FC
5 - 1
Dundalk
DUN
42%
27%
31%
1067 863 -204 -8
21 May. 2021
DUN
Dundalk
2 - 1
Shamrock Rovers
SHR
47%
27%
26%
1063 1067 -4 +4
14 May. 2021
FIN
Finn Harps
1 - 1
Dundalk
DUN
33%
27%
40%
1065 423 -642 -2
07 May. 2021
DUN
Dundalk
0 - 1
Sligo Rovers
SLR
53%
24%
23%
1070 759 311 -5

Matches

Waterford United
Waterford United
1%
X%
2%
ELO WAT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2021
BOH
Bohemian FC
3 - 0
Waterford United
WAT
53%
24%
23%
549 871 322 -5
24 May. 2021
WAT
Waterford United
1 - 2
Finn Harps
FIN
47%
27%
26%
553 421 132 -4
21 May. 2021
WAT
Waterford United
0 - 1
Derry City
DER
40%
28%
32%
556 804 -248 -3
15 May. 2021
SLR
Sligo Rovers
3 - 0
Waterford United
WAT
51%
26%
23%
562 764 202 0
08 May. 2021
WAT
Waterford United
0 - 7
Drogheda United
DRO
47%
27%
26%
571 498 73 -9