FAI Cup . Semi-finals

Dundalk vs UC Dublin analysis

Dundalk UC Dublin
79 ELO 60
4.4% Tilt 11.4%
933º General ELO ranking 4326º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
76.2%
Dundalk
15.6%
Draw
8.2%
UC Dublin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
Dundalk
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.2%
Win probability
UC Dublin
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundalk
-21%
+21%
UC Dublin

ELO progression

Dundalk
UC Dublin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundalk
Dundalk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2018
DUN
Dundalk
3 - 2
Derry City
DER
73%
17%
10%
79 61 18 0
21 Sep. 2018
CAO
Cork City
0 - 1
Dundalk
DUN
36%
25%
39%
80 78 2 -1
07 Sep. 2018
LIM
Limerick
0 - 4
Dundalk
DUN
14%
19%
67%
76 56 20 +4
03 Sep. 2018
STP
St Patrick's
1 - 0
Dundalk
DUN
21%
21%
58%
77 61 16 -1
31 Aug. 2018
LIM
Limerick
0 - 1
Dundalk
DUN
14%
22%
64%
77 56 21 0

Matches

UC Dublin
UC Dublin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2018
LON
Longford Town
2 - 2
UC Dublin
UCD
37%
25%
38%
60 54 6 0
14 Sep. 2018
UCD
UC Dublin
1 - 1
Finn Harps
FIN
59%
23%
18%
61 58 3 -1
07 Sep. 2018
UCD
UC Dublin
2 - 1
Waterford United
WAT
42%
24%
34%
59 62 3 +2
31 Aug. 2018
DRO
Drogheda United
0 - 3
UC Dublin
UCD
30%
26%
45%
58 52 6 +1
24 Aug. 2018
RFC
CIE Ranch
2 - 6
UC Dublin
UCD
5%
12%
83%
58 9 49 0
X