Dundalk vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
4º
1º
56
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 79 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 70 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 66 |
3º
|
84.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 46 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 43 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 40 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
8º
|
44.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 34 |
9º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
96% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
WEX
0 - 0
DUN
16%
25%
59%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2025 |
DUN
3 - 3
KEF
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 7
DUN
18%
26%
57%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
DUN
6 - 1
ATH
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
DUN
4 - 1
LON
78%
16%
6%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
BRW
3 - 1
ATH
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2025 |
UCD
3 - 2
BRW
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
WEX
0 - 1
BRW
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
FIN
3 - 1
BRW
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
BRW
0 - 2
COB
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |