Scottish Championship Round 9

Dumbarton vs Livingston analysis

Dumbarton Livingston
51 ELO 54
17.9% Tilt 13.8%
4034º General ELO ranking 524º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.6%
Dumbarton
24.4%
Draw
35%
Livingston

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35%
Win probability
Livingston
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+38%
+7%
Livingston

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Livingston
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2015
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
20%
17%
51 57 6 0
19 Sep. 2015
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 2
Rangers
GLA
15%
22%
63%
51 73 22 0
12 Sep. 2015
GRE
Greenock Morton
0 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
21%
16%
50 61 11 +1
05 Sep. 2015
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 2
Alloa Athletic
ALL
61%
21%
18%
52 50 2 -2
28 Aug. 2015
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
67%
20%
13%
52 63 11 0

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2015
ALL
Alloa Athletic
0 - 3
Livingston
LIV
38%
26%
37%
55 51 4 0
22 Sep. 2015
LIV
Livingston
0 - 2
Inverness CT
ICT
13%
20%
67%
54 76 22 +1
19 Sep. 2015
LIV
Livingston
0 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
28%
27%
45%
55 66 11 -1
12 Sep. 2015
GLA
Rangers
3 - 0
Livingston
LIV
78%
15%
8%
55 73 18 0
05 Sep. 2015
LIV
Livingston
2 - 4
Greenock Morton
GRE
37%
26%
37%
57 60 3 -2